Total Solar Eclipse 2017

A total solar eclipse will be visible this August 21st across parts of the lower 48! This hasn’t happened since 1979, so it’s a pretty rare event. The good news is that the total eclipse will take place in Georgia! The bad news is that you will need to be in a tiny slice of the northeast corner of the state to see it in it’s entirety. If not don’t worry, you will still get an almost total eclipse even from metro Atlanta. Here is a map showing the path of totality.

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Not only will the view be limited spatially, but it will be limited in time as well. Provided there are good weather conditions to view the eclipse it will only last around 2 minutes sometime between 2:35 pm and 2:40 pm depending on where in northeast Georgia you are located. If your are elsewhere in Georgia during that time you will only see a partial eclipse. If you miss this one the next Total Solar Eclipse visible in the lower 48 won’t come until April 8th, 2024 and it won’t be visible here in Georgia. For that one you will have to travel west to Arkansas for the closest view.

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For those planning to take a look skyward remember do not look into the sun without proper eye protection. There are alternate ways to view the eclipse as well, and by following this link from NASA Eclipse 2017 you can find all the information you need to view the eclipse safely.

 

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES?

Yes that’s right we have below normal temperatures in the forecast for this week, but what about next? The 6-10 day forecast indicates some relief for areas to our west but here in north Georgia it appears that we will see temperatures at or near normal.610temp.new

So don’t get too excited about the prospects of August all of a sudden becoming cooler than normal here is north Georgia. Rainfall could be a different story. It looks like the unsettled, rainy pattern developing this week could continue into next week as well bringing much needed rain to our area.814prcp.new (4)

Above normal rainfall would be a beautiful thing since much of the central and northern part of the state is either in severe to extreme drought.

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SHOWERS & T-STORMS THURSDAY

A strong cold front will approach the Southeast late Wednesday and through the day on Thursday bringing with it showers and a few t-storms. The SPC has an area southwest of Atlanta under a slight risk for severe t-storms. The area in question would include all counties south of I-20 and west of I-75.

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If severe t-storms do occur the main threat would be from damaging winds. Lightning will also be a threat so be sure to seek shelter if a storm approaches. The best timing appears to be in the morning on Thursday and then again late Thursday night into early Friday morning.

Here is a look at two different computer models (GFS & NAM) that paint a slightly different story. The GFS model is more aggressive and faster then the NAM. Here is the GFS for 2 am Friday morning.

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If this is correct a fairly strong line of t-storms will be moving through much of North Georgia in the overnight hours into Friday morning. The NAM on the other hand shows far less activity.

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As for the timing the GFS has the rain moving out in the morning on Friday while the NAM keeps the shower activity around through Friday afternoon. Here is the GFS for 2 pm Friday clearly showing the showers well to the east and south.

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The NAM on the other hand keeps showers (although light & few) around through 2 pm on Friday.

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I’m leaning more toward the GFS with the faster solution. Once the system makes its way to the east look for another cold snap with lows down into the 40s and 30s both Saturday

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and Sunday morning.

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APRIL: COOLER & WETTER

Don’t get too used to the warm spring weather of late, because a more active pattern will emerge for the end of March and the beginning of April. This will allow for slightly cooler than normal temperatures,
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and above normal precipitation.

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The outlook for the entire month of April is a little less clear, but I think a more active pattern will continue allowing for an overall cooler and wetter month for north Georgia. The official outlook has us in an equal chances category for temperatures,

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and above normal chances allowing for a wetter than normal month.
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The El Nino which has been raging for the past year is finally showing signs of weakening, so maybe this is the last gasp as we transition to an ENSO-neutral phase heading into summer.

MILDER WEATHER RETURNS

As January draws to a close milder air will begin to arrive starting Thursday. Much of the southern half of the nation will see a significant warm up with temperatures locally climbing into the mid 50s! In the Mid-Atlantic states where they saw enormous snowfall totals a week ago, they will now see much of that melt as temperatures there rise into the 40s and eventually into the 50s this weekend. We have 60 degree readings to enjoy here both Saturday and Sunday.

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Shower chances are also in our future both later tonight (to the south and southeast),

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and on Monday out ahead of a stronger system that will be developing in Texas.

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As the storm system rapidly develops late Monday and Tuesday even warmer air will be drawn ou ahead of the storm pushing temperatures here well into the 60s to near 70.

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The bulk of the rain with the next, stronger system will arrive on Tuesday and into early Wednesday. With the warmer air in place a few t-storms may be possible.

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As the storm system pushes east, colder air will eventually move in from the northwest,

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eventually dropping our afternoon high temperatures across north Georgia into the 30s by next Friday.

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The cold air may stick around through the weekend of the February 6th & 7th, but conditions will be dry.

Weekend Weather

The weather pattern which was mostly up, in terms of temperatures, is now beginning to look more up and down as we head into the second week of the New Year. Temperatures this week have been very cold compared to the unseasonably warm weather that occupied much of December. Now it looks like a more normal type pattern will evolve at least for the next 7-10 days. This means periods of milder temperatures followed by brief cold snaps, and occasional rain. The first such transition begins Thursday with milder air returning to north Georgia.

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The mild air will stay with us through the weekend, but increasing moisture will bring rain our way as well. Look for a few showers early Friday, and then the next batch of rain will move in Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. This will be the most significant round of rain out of the two.

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Rain totals through the weekend won’t be that much, but with the saturated soil from all the rain in December look for most of the rain to quickly run off into the area streams and creeks. This will lead to rising streams and creeks with some minor flooding possible.

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By Sunday the rain will have moved to the east and dry weather will return by late morning and afternoon. Slightly cooler temperatures will follow with dry to stay with into the beginning of next week.

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STORMS FOR NORTH GEORGIA THIS WEEKEND

High pressure building in behind a cold front that moved in late Tuesday will give us a break in the heat and humidity heading into the weekend.

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Unfortunately for your weekend plans it looks like rain will return in the form of afternoon showers and t-showers beginning on Friday.

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Considering that we haven’t had much rain across north Georgia so far this month the rain will be a welcomed site for many whose gardens and lawns are getting quite dry. Severe weather will once again break out today across much of Texas and the southern Plains, and that system will be responsible for bringing the showers back to our area beginning Friday afternoon.

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The pattern will not only continue through the weekend but should hold into next week as well.

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DECEMBER COLD TO START NOVEMBER

Conditions more fitted for the end of December will greet us for the first weekend of November.

TEMPERATURES: A series of cold fronts will bring the coldest air so far this fall with highs struggling to reach the 50s on Saturday. In fact the morning lows will approach freezing north of Atlanta, and the National Weather Service has posted a Freeze Watch from Pickens to White county and points north. Even colder reading will be felt Sunday morning as the wind dies down and reading even here in the metro area may approach freezing. Make sure to protect any tender vegetation that is not cold hardy. The cold snap will only last into Sunday with temperatures warming into the upper 60s to near 70 next week.

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SNOW: There is still a chance that flurries will occur early Saturday morning across the north Georgia mountains. Accumulations are not expected so whatever falls will be more of a novelty that anything else.

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TIME CHANGE: Another reminder that this weekend we turn the clocks back one hour and return to Eastern Standard Time. Set your clocks back one hour before you go to bed Saturday night, and also check the batteries in you smoke detectors as well. A good habit to get into.

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COLD AIR OUTBREAK & FLURRIES

A secondary cold front will arrive late Friday bringing with it the coldest air so far this fall and a chance for flurries in the mountains.

COLD AIR: Cold air moving in out of Canada will gradually bring readings in the 50s for highs and lows in the 30s both Saturday and Sunday. Some areas in the mountains will approach freezing especially Sunday morning as the winds decrease. Areas in metro Atlanta will remain in the mid to upper 30s so the threat of freezing temperatures is low. Just in case though protect any warm weather plants that you may want to survive for a while longer.

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FLURRIES: Limited moisture will accompany the front but there may be enough to squeeze out a few flurries is some of the higher elevations. There is no threat of any flakes sticking as the ground is very warm. The best time will be between sunrise Saturday morning and 1pm Saturday afternoon. Winds will be howling out of the northwest at 15 to 25 mph making it feel even colder.

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TIME CHANGE: Remember to change your clocks back 1 hour Saturday night before you go to bed as we go back to Eastern Standard Time.

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SEVERE WEATHER STILL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT

An intense line of showers and t-showers will continue to move east at 30 mph making it to west Georgia overnight.

TIMING: A squall line will reach west GA around 4am and will most likely be accompanied by damaging winds and possibly a few tornadoes. The line will weaken as it gets closer to Atlanta by 7am, but will still be strong enough to produce damaging winds. Heavy rain will also accompany the storms as they move through. A second line of storms will develop behind the first and should move through metro Atlanta around noon time. This line could also be capable of destructive winds and very heavy rain. The second line should diminish east of Atlanta later in the afternoon.

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MAIN THREAT: Damaging winds will be the main threat with this storm system, but as we stated earlier a few tornadoes could develop along the squall line as it moves into west GA. The air west of I-75 north and south will be more unstable as the line moves in. During the afternoon round just about all of north Georgia will be unstable so severe weather could occur just about anywhere as the line moves through. Also remember to download the FOX 5 StormTeam App to keep you updated on any watches or warnings issued in the overnight hours. They can alert you via your smartphone in the case of a wrning being issued for your area.

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REST OF THE WEEK: Showers may develop late Wednesday as moisture wraps around the upper low that will be to our northwest, otherwise the rest of the week should be dry. It will also be much cooler with highs Wednesday and Thursday in the 60s and lows in the 50s. Temperatures will warm back into the mid to upper 70s by the weekend along with abundant sunshine.

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