More Rain To Kick Off June

It looks like the rainy pattern that we have been in, is not going away anytime soon thanks to a near persistent trough of low pressure covering the eastern half of the nation. Although it will shift, and loose it’s grip on us from time to time, the overall result will lead to above normal rainfall and below normal temperatures. The following chart shows the 500 mb circulation around the northern hemisphere. The big L parked over the Great Lakes is the trough that is currently helping to bring us the unsettled weather of late.

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The forecast from the Climate Prediction Center points to this trend continuing as well. Both the 6-10 day, and 8-14 day forecasts call for below normal temperatures and above normal rainfall.

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The winner in all of this is the drought situation across north and central Georgia. Since the beginning of the year the percentage of the state that was under extreme drought has been reduced from 49.64% to 6.37% with absolutely zero extreme or exceptional drought showing up in north Georgia. February and March were not kind to us as far as rain is concerned. A combined 4.55″ in that stretch was woefully below normal. Since then we have made up ground with 5.75″ in April and 4.35″ so far this May!

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So even though it seems like we can’t get a break from the never ending showers and t-showers, it will be nice to be ahead of the game before the dog days of summer arrive.

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T-STORM RISK THIS THURSDAY

Another strong storm system will be heading toward the Southeast on Thursday after delivering a blow to Texas and the Gulf Coast on Wednesday. Portions of east Texas and Louisiana could get hit the hardest. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of that area under an enhanced risk for severe t-storms including tornadoes.
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By the time the system gets to here in the Southeast the risk for severe weather will have greatly diminished. That being said we could still see a few strong to severe storms here in north Georgia, but the threat is greater across middle and south Georgia.

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The upper level forcing combined with the instability in the lower levels of the atmosphere support the possibility of damaging weather Wednesday in Texas and Louisiana.

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Things are not the same as the storm system makes its way into the Southeast. The forcing aloft is still there, but the instability in the lower levels is greatly reduced.

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Therefore don’t look for a large outbreak of severe weather here in north Georgia, but do be prepared for a few strong to severe storms that could be capable of damaging winds, large hail and a brief spin up tornado. While you’re at it download the FOX 5 Storm Team App for your smartphone. It’s FREE!!! Just follow the link below:

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