AFTERNOON STORMS HAVE RETURNED

Showers and t-storms will once again become a daily occurrence this week as heat and humidity combine to produce instability. Throw in an upper level disturbance like we had earlier today and the storms could reach severe limits.

Wednesday the SPC has parts of north Georgia in a marginal risk for severe t-storms while areas closer to Atlanta will most likely see just your garden variety summer storms.

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Our RPM model shows mainly isolated showers and t-showers Wednesday afternoon and evening, and most should be well below severe limits.

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On Thursday the number of showers and t-showers will again be spotty but we can’t completely rule out 1 or 2 becoming strong or severe.

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By the weekend the chance for showers and t-showers will drop off to only 30% with the majority of the activity occurring during the late afternoon and early evening. The outlook for both the Peachtree Road Race and the area fireworks displays looks GOOD! If your running the Peachtree it should be business as usual: muggy, muggy and more muggy. Be sure to start hydrating well in advance.

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The rest of the seven day forecast is typical July with lots of heat and humidity and just your average pop up t-storms due to the heating of the day.

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HERE COMES THE HEAT

Starting this weekend temperatures will soar into the low 90s here in north Georgia with summer still over a week away. All indications point to the heat staying with us at least through the official start to summer on June 21st, and possibly well beyond that. The Climate Prediction Center put out it’s updated forecast yesterday that puts the Southeast in hot, and mainly dry pattern. The 6-10 day outlook has us in an area of equal chance for rain which could be favorable for at least some afternoon t-shower activity.

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The 8-14 day outlook on the other hand points not only to a hotter than normal period, but also a drier one.

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Things get a little less certain the farther out you go, especially when talking about the 3 month outlook for June, July and August. That outlook puts north Georgia in and equal chances category for both temperature and precipitation. There is a very good chance though that the entire summer could be not only hotter than normal, but drier than normal.

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In the short term (next 7 days) look for a good chance of showers and t-showers Thursday & Friday before the hot and mainly dry weather sets in.

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T-STORMS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT

A cold front moving through Tennessee will bring a round of t-storms to north Georgia after midnight. The t-storms will enter northwest Georgia around midnight and will reach Atlanta around 3am.

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Although wide spread severe t-storms will NOT occur there will be a few strong to severe cells along the line. Greatest threat will come from lightning, damaging winds and small hail.

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The rest of the week won’t bring much rain except for a brief pop up t-shower here and there. One thing is for sure….the heat is on. Highs will be near 90 with lows near 70 the rest of the week.

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After a wet May that saw over 4″ of rain here in north Georgia we will again be looking at a wetter than normal pattern to start off the month of June. Showers and t-showers although isolated this afternoon may become more numerous by the evening.

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The same upper level low that has supported the t-storms development here since the weekend will be with us for the upcoming week. T-storm chances remain at about 60% through Tuesday and start to diminish by the end of the week. The threat of severe weather remains fairly low the next few days with the main threat being lightning and damaging winds.

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The end to the week should have fewer rain chances, beginning on Wednesday when the chance for rain diminishes to 30% and then eventually 20% for Saturday & Sunday.

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WET START TO JUNE

After a wet May that saw over 4″ of rain here in north Georgia we will again be looking at a wetter than normal pattern to start off the month of June. Showers and t-showers although isolated this afternoon may become more numerous by the evening.

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The same upper level low that has supported the t-storms development here since the weekend will be with us for the upcoming week. T-storm chances remain at about 60% through Tuesday and start to diminish by the end of the week. The threat of severe weather remains fairly low the next few days with the main threat being lightning and damaging winds.

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The end to the week should have fewer rain chances, beginning on Wednesday when the chance for rain diminishes to 30% and then eventually 20% for Saturday & Sunday.

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