BIG WEEKEND MIGHT INCLUDE SHOWERS

Showers and t-showers will increase this weekend as moisture returns from the Gulf.

TIMING: Clouds will start to increase on Saturday with showers and t-showers developing by Saturday night and a 50% chance of showers and t-showers both Sunday and Monday. Although this sounds like a lot there will be just as many dry hours as wet hours, so the weekend won’t be a washout. The bulk of the showers and t-showers will come during the afternoon and evening along with the max heating of the day.

jeff blog1

HEATING UP: Along with the increased chance of showers and t-showers, the temperatures will climb into the low 90’s as we move into the weekend. Humidity will increase as well with dew point temperatures climbing from the upper 50s (where they are now) to the mid-60s by Saturday and Sunday. This will result in moderate humidity and just enough low level moisture to get the t-showers going during the afternoon.

jeff blog2jeffblog3

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is still on course to move north through the Atlantic passing between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda. There are two other disturbances, one in the Gulf near Louisiana, and the other near the Lesser Antilles, but neither stands much of a chance of developing.

jeffblog4

Advertisements

COOL NIGHTS & WARM DAYS

High pressure across the Mid-Atlantic will continue to provide us with below normal temperatures and low humidity through the end of the week.

TEMPERATURES & HUMIDITY: East winds travelling around an area of low pressure to our north will continue to supply the Southeast with lower humidity and cooler than normal temperatures for this time of the year. Lows the next few nights will drop into the upper 50s north of Atlanta to near 60 in the suburbs and the mid-60s in Atlanta. Eventually the highs will climb back into the upper 80s and lower 90s, but the low humidity will help to make it feel somewhat comfortable. By the weekend humidity will begin to rise along with a chance of daily showers and t-showers.

jeff blog1jeff blog2

RAIN: Showers and t-showers will hold off until this upcoming Labor Day Weekend. Moisture from a system across Texas and Louisiana will spread eastward resulting in a 30-40% chance of showers and t-showers Saturday through Monday.

jeffblog3

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Cristobal is currently moving out of the Bahamas and is expected to gradually gain strength and should be our next hurricane by Wednesday. The storm will stay well offshore of the East Coast of the U.S. passing between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and the island of Bermuda. You can always get the latest on the tropics at myfoxhurricane.com

jeffblog4

HOTTEST WEEKEND OF THE SUMMER ON TAP

As temperatures soar over the next few days, look for the hottest weekend so far this year.

TEMPERATURES: Temperatures over the weekend will hit the highest readings seen so far this weekend. Highs will run anywhere from 95 to near 100 in and around Atlanta, especially to the south and east. Combined with the humidity it will feel more like 100-105. Make sure to drink lots of water and sty hydrated in this type of heat. After all it’s the weekend and many of us will be outside so it makes it all the more important. By next week highs will drop back to seasonal norms with reading generally in the upper 80s.

jeff blog1

T-STORMS: Strong high pressure building aloft will not only aid in heating up the atmosphere, but it will also suppress the ability for t-storms to form. Therefore except for a stray t-shower don’t look for much in the way of organized t-showers this weekend.

jeff blog2

TROPICS: The system that everyone has been watching in the Atlantic, Invest 96L, is on track to strengthen and possible become a TD as it makes its way into the Caribbean. The new long range forecast model data suggests that the system will track toward the Bahamas by Monday. On that path it will struggle to stay alive after it encounters Hispaniola, so we will wait and see. Earlier in the week the models suggested a stronger system in the Gulf of Mexico. Quite a difference wouldn’t you say? That is why putting faith in long range models is not a smart thing to do.

jeffblog3

SHOWERS ENDING, HEAT BEGINNING

 

As the showers end tonight the hottest temperatures of the summer will begin on Wednesday.

RAIN: Showers and t-showers are coming to an end tonight with little chance of showers and t-showers through this upcoming weekend. High pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere will strengthen over the Southeast and this will all but put a stop to the daily showers and t-showers that we come to expect in the summer.

jeff blog1

HEAT: The hottest readings of the summer along with high humidity will begin on Wednesday and last through the weekend. Highs will climb to the mid to upper 90s by Thursday and Friday along with heat index values of 100-105. This is dangerous heat for those that have to be outside. Drink plenty of fluids to make sure that you stay properly hydrated and wear loose fitting, lightweight clothes.

jeff blog2

TROPICS: Not much to report here, but a few long range models hint at development in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico just prior to Labor Day weekend. Right now I wouldn’t cancel any plans!

jeffblog3

A STORMY NIGHT IN GEORGIA

A vigorous upper level disturbance moving out of Arkansas is creating widespread showers and t-showers this evening.

T-STORM THREAT: Showers and t-showers this afternoon and evening have been capable of damaging winds and large hail. This threat will gradually diminish later tonight as the atmosphere becomes more stable. A large upper level disturbance will continue to generate showers and a few t-showers overnight, but they should remain well below severe limits. Tomorrow a series of weaker disturbances will move over the area so look for more showers and t-showers throughout the day.

jeff blog1

HEAT: The hottest days of this summer are on the way this week with highs in the mid 90s and lows only in the mid 70s. The increase in temperatures will begin Wednesday and last into the upcoming weekend.

jeff blog2

TASTE OF EARLY FALL

Low humidity and clear skies will blanket the Southeast through the weekend providing us with a taste of early fall weather.

TEMPERATURES: Low temperatures over the next few nights will rival the breaks from the heat that we had in June. Lows tonight will drop into the upper 50s to lower 60s. The coolest reading will be in the north Georgia Mountains. Although tomorrow night may not be as cool, temperatures will still slip into the upper 50s north, and will only fall into the mid-60s in the metro area. Over the weekend lows will gradually get closer to the normal low of 71. High temperatures will climb into the low 90s this weekend and will stay near 90 the following week.

jeff blog1jeff blog2

HUMIDITY: Summertime moisture will gradually return this weekend with dew point temperatures climbing back into the upper 60 to near 70 by Sunday. This will set the stage for daily t-showers which will begin Monday and last through next week.

jeffblog3

STORMY PATTERN TO CONTINUE

Showers and t-showers will continue for both Monday and Tuesday before the pattern finally breaks on Wednesday.

SET UP: An old frontal boundary that has been stationary this weekend will continue to hang around through Tuesday giving the area a daily chance of showers and t-showers especially during the afternoon and evening. Although severe weather is not expected a few of the storms could produce damaging winds, dangerous lightning and intense rain.

BREAK IN THE PATTERN: By Wednesday frontal system will finally move northeast allowing high pressure to build in from the west. Sunshine along with dryer air will move in starting on Wednesday and lasting into next weekend.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet with the only disturbance being an area of low pressure located just off the west coast of Africa.

VERY FEW SHOWERS TO BE HAD

Temperatures this week will be on the rise, but unfortunately showers won’t come as easy.

HEAT: High temperatures will climb to the highest readings so far this summer with the high Thursday expected to hit 94 or 95. The humidity which has been very low the last few days will start to inch upward throughout the day Wednesday and into Thursday. Highs will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s over the weekend and in the upper 80s next week.

JEFF BLOG1

RAIN: Showers and t-showers will be few into the weekend with just a slightly better chance into the weekend. Our chances will improve to only 30% mind you so don’t cancel any outdoor plans.

JEFF BLOG2

TROPICS: The tropical Atlantic is quieting down now that Tropical Storm Bertha is headed out to sea. The tropical Pacific is a different story with two storms that could impact Hawaii the first being Hurricane Iselle, and the second Tropical Storm Julio. Hawaii rarely gets hits by just one tropical system let alone back to back storms. A developing El Nino is leading to warmer than normal sea surface temperatures that has led to an active season in the Pacific. More on the tropics can be found at myfoxhurricane.com

JEFF BLOG3

HEATING UP THIS WEEK

Temperatures will be heating up this week with the hottest stretch that we have had this summer expected.

HOW HOT: High temperatures will continue to climb this week with highs on Tuesday near 90 and then into the mid-90s by Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will only drop into the mid-70s which doesn’t allow for much relief. Humidity will also climb creating heat index values near 100 during the stretch. By the weekend it won’t be as hot with highs in the upper-80s to near 90.

JEFF BLOG1

RAIN CHANCES: Showers and t-showers will be few and far between this week. Rain chances will only be 20% each afternoon and evening growing slightly to 30% by the weekend.

JEFF BLOG2

TROPICS: Bertha is now a hurricane with winds of 75 mph but poses no threat to land. It is positioned  about 475 miles off shore and will pass between Bermuda and the Carolinas as it moves north and then northeast basically paralleling the East Coast. For all the latest on Bertha go to myfoxhurricane.com.

JEFF BLOG3