SHOWERS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES

Clouds will start to increase Thursday with showers and t-showers to follow for Friday and through the weekend.

RAIN: Clouds will increase Thursday with a slight chance of a shower late in the afternoon on Thursday and then a better chance of showers and t-showers each afternoon and evening through the weekend. Although we aren’t expecting any severe weather, we could have some lightning as well as brief heavy downpours as the showers develop each day.

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TEMPERATURES: Although it won’t be as cool at night the daytime highs will remain below normal through the weekend. The normal high for this time of year is 89 and we will be lucky to see 85. Eventually by next week highs will get back to normal with overnight lows near 70.

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TROPICAL UPDATE: INVEST 93L which has been around since Monday has failed to gain any significant progress due to dry air to the north and relatively strong wind shear. There is still a 50% chance of developing into a Tropical Depression in the next few days so stay tuned. Get all the latest at myfoxhurricane.com

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ENJOY IT WHILE IT LASTS!

Beautiful weather will settle in over the next few days bringing a break from the mid-summer heat and humidity, but it won’t last long as moisture and heat return by the end of the week.

COOLER AIR: The cold front that moved in this morning will usher in much drier and cooler air through early Thursday. The dry air combined with clear skies will give us cool nights with lows dropping into the upper 50s and low 60s by Wednesday morning. The record low Wednesday is 61 so we should be close. Highs will generally be in the 80-85 degree range much below our normal high of 89. Combined with low humidity it will feel more like late September than late July.

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RAIN RETURNS: Showers and t-showers will return this weekend as an upper level disturbance lingers over the southeast through next Monday. This will keep more clouds than sun on our area with a daily chance of mainly afternoon and evening t-showers.

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A FEW STORMS AND LOWER HUMIDITY

A strong cold front will push through north Georgia overnight and early Monday bringing a few showers and t-showers and then cooler and less humid air.

T-STORMS: Showers and t-showers will form out ahead of a cold front that will approach late tonight. There a slight risk of severe t-storms in the far northern section of the North Georgia Mountains overnight and into Monday morning. The main threat will be damaging winds and large hail if the storms do indeed form. It should be noted that most areas will not see any rain at all overnight. Dry weather will dominate the morning and early afternoon hours before another line forms along the front late Monday afternoon. By then the front will already be near Macon, so any storms Monday will across Central and South Georgia.

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LOWER HUMIDITY: Drier and cooler air will arrive behind the front starting Monday afternoon. Dew point temperatures will fall into the 50s and this will allow for cooler nights as well. Lows both Tuesday and Wednesday morning will fall into the upper 50s in the mountains, and in the low to mid 60s across the metro area. Highs both days will be in the low to mid 80s.

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ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT

Another strong cold front will arrive next week marking three such fronts that have brought unseasonable cool air to the south during the month of July. Along with the cooler air we will have another round of showers and t-showers to deal with next Monday and Tuesday.

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Much below normal temperatures will last all of next week and into the beginning of August giving us another taste of early fall.

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Along with the cooler air will come lots of sunshine and below normal precipitation as indicated on the 6-10 day outlook.

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TROPICAL UPDATE

Tropical Depression Two has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean over a thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

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Winds are minimal at 35 mph and the storm will have many obstacles to overcome if it is to be Tropical Storm or Hurricane Bertha. The official track from the NHC keeps it a TD through Thursday and that may be optimistic.

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Ahead of the storm is not only very dry air but very marginal sea surface temperatures. Both dry air and cool water are kryptonite to a tropical system trying to strengthen.

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We will continue to track the low, but chances are we will have to wait for another system before Bertha is named.

 

MORE RAIN ON THE WAY

Showers and a few t-showers will continue to move slowly along a stationary front that continues to be draped across middle Georgia.

RAIN OVERNIGHT: Showers and a few t-showers will continue overnight tonight with the main threat being heavy rain from cells that will pass over the same areas time and again. Some could see rain totals close to an inch. Severe t-storms are not expected.

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UPCOMING WEEK: The stationary front won’t move much this upcoming and a persistent trough of low pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere will continue to be parked over the Southeast leaving us in a pattern where scattered showers and t-showers will occur each day. This is more typical of July and we should pick up the much needed rain that we missed in the first half of the month.

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T-SHOWERS FOR THIS AFTERNOON

After a morning that was a dud as far as rain goes it still looks like we should have a good chance of t-showers this afternoon.

FRONT MOVING IN: A cold front is moving south out of Tennessee today and this will bring scattered showers and t-showers to metro Atlanta beginning this afternoon and lasting into this evening. Some t-showers may produce gusty winds and heavy downpours, along with small hail, but right now it appears that the storms will remain below sever limits. The front will stall out and become stationary through late Thursday helping to produce the t-showers through Thursday.

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WEEKEND: As we near the weekend high pressure aloft will start to build back in providing for dryer conditions starting Friday and lasting through the weekend. Along with the lack of rain will come warmer temperatures. Highs over the weekend will return to the low 90s.

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HIGHER HUMIDITY ON THE WAY BACK

After a weekend with weather more typical of September than July, it looks like things will be getting back to normal by this upcoming week.

HUMIDITY: The cold front that moved through on Thursday ushered in very dry air for this time of year. Dew point temperatures in the 50s have produced a wonderful weekend full of warm days and cool nights. Usually this time of year the dew point temperature is closer to 70 and that’s when the humidity feels oppressive. The dew point readings will start to increase on Sunday and then get back to summertime levels next week. Also look for temperatures to slowly inch back into the low 90’s.

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RAINFALL: We haven’t seen much rain lately and this upcoming week won’t be much of an exception. An area of low pressure will briefly form along the coast on Sunday and this help to enhance showers and t-showers along the coast, but little will develop inland. By Thursday and Friday of next week a front will stall across the southeast bring us a better chance of mainly afternoon and evening t-showers.

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ARTHUR ENDING, HEAT RETURNING

After a beautiful Fourth of July our weather is about to get back to normal for this time of year.

TEMPERATURES: The heat of summer will gradually return as we head through the weekend. Highs both Saturday and Sunday will climb back into the upper 80s compared to todays’ high of 84. This morning’s low was 64, and unfortunately we won’t see that again for a while. By next week highs will climb back into the low 90’s along with higher humidity and overnight lows only in the lower 70s.

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T-SHOWERS: Very little rain is in the forecast through next week until we reach next Thursday and Friday when a frontal boundary will stall across the southeast giving us a better chance for showers and t-showers. Until then high pressure aloft will aid in capping any t-showers development through Wednesday. The only feature that could change this will be an area of low pressure that could form off of the Georgia coast Sunday. If this feature does come true then at least some cloud cover could move up from the coast all the way to here in metro Atlanta, with a slight chance of showers making to about the Macon-Eatonton-Augusta area.

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Tropical Storm Arthur

The first Tropical Storm of the season has formed and there is a very good possibility that Arthur will be a category one hurricane with winds of 80 mph offshore of South Carolina by Thursday afternoon. The storm is currently located 85 miles ESE of Cape Canaveral, Fl.

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The official track from the NHC keeps Arthur well offshore of the Georgia coast though the day on Wednesday. Strong surf and rip-tides along with some coastal flooding will be the main effects. Once the storm moves farther north the effects of high winds and heavy rain will felt more as the storm near the SC/NC border during the day on Thursday. The width of the storm will be rather small so the strongest winds will be confined off shore near the storm’s center.

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As the storm moves along the NC coastline toward the Outer Banks that is when the greatest risk for coastal flooding and erosion will take place. Areas from Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras could encounter near hurricane force winds. The storm will then continue to move NE and weaken as it encounters colder waters and greater shear.

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