HOW DRY I AM….OR NOT!

Seems like rain has been pretty scarce for a while, but if you look inside the numbers we are actually doing just fine.

RECENT RAINFALL: Rain totals over the last 30 days have been less than normal. In fact we have received only 2.26” which is 1.29” below average. But if you look at the last 60 days we are above normal by 0.78”, and looking back for the last 6 months we are above average by 1.33”. For the last 365 days (1year) we are above average by 6.55”. The most recent Palmer Drought Index (Crop Moisture Index) shows that the entire state of Georgia is drought free! Now that doesn’t mean that your grass or garden couldn’t use a little help from Mother Nature, because I know mine sure could it just means that overall there is enough soil moisture and water in area reservoirs to avoid a short term drought.

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CHANCE OF RAIN: Over the next 7 to 10 days our outlook for rain doesn’t improve greatly. Each day we are looking at anywhere from a 30-40% chance of late day t-showers, and that to be honest is being generous. High pressure building overhead is limiting the development of the daily t-showers, putting our t-shower production barely in the 10-20% range the past few days.

TEMPERATURES: The warmer than normal temperatures over the past week show no signs of letting up as well with highs remaining in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the mid to upper 60s right through next week.

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T-SHOWER CHANCES GOING UP

The upper low that has been circulating out of the Rockies and into Texas, will creep closer to the Southeast bringing a slight increase in showers and t-showers Thursday and Friday.

IMPACTS: The upper low will allow more numerous showers and t-showers to develop both Thursday and Friday. This will mainly be an increase in coverage not necessarily an increase in intensity so don’t look for an increase in severe t-storms. The increase in coverage of the t-showers means that you will be more likely to get some much needed rain over the next few days. Right now most areas are a good 2-3” below average for the year. Some t-showers could become strong to severe as well with the greatest being hail, lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds.ImageImage

TEMPERATURES: The warm air mass over the Southeast will remain with us through the upcoming weekend and the following week. This means more highs in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

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TROPICS: The official start of the Hurricane season is June 1st and computer models are hinting at early season disturbance forming in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. This is a long way out but something to monitor just the same.

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SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING

A round of severe t-storms left their mark on parts of North Georgia dumping hail, knocking down trees and leaving at least one house on fire after being struck by lightning.

MORE STORMS: Another round of showers and t-showers will develop on Memorial Day during the afternoon and evening as temperatures climb into the mid to upper 80s. There is the possibility that a few could become severe with hail, strong winds and lightning. The same can be said for Tuesday and then there will be less of a chance Wednesday and Thursday before the chance of t-showers increases again by Friday.

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TEMPERATURES: It appears that an early summer type pattern has taken hold with no end in sight. Highs each day will range from 85 to 90 with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. Hopefully this doesn’t equate to a long hot summer. Stay tuned!

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THE OFFICIAL UNOFFICIAL START OF SUMMER

Memorial Day weekend is right around the corner and it looks like the weather will cooperate for the most part.

TEMPERATURES: Warm weather will continue through the weekend with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 to end the week. Over the weekend highs will generally be in the mid-80s with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. Some areas could get above 90 especially to the south of Atlanta both Thursday and Friday afternoon. Highs on Memorial Day will remain in the mid-80s as well.

RAIN CHANCES: Except for a stray shower in the mountains the next few afternoons we should stay dry through the weekend with the next chance (20%) of showers arriving Monday afternoon. Whatever develops will be few and far between and on the light side. By Tuesday and Wednesday of next week a slightly better chance (30%) of showers and t-showers will develop.

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The Start Of A Sunny Pattern

Sunny skies return to North Georgia over the next few days along with warmer temperatures just in time for Memorial Day Weekend!

SET UP: A broad ridge of high pressure will build into the eastern US creating dry and warmer conditions for us here in the Southeast. Meanwhile systems coming in from the west will be diverted around the rige of high pressure bringing rain to the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes.

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The sunny weather will last into the Memorial Day weekend with just a slight cool down on Saturday And Sunday. Looks like the rain should hold off for Monday as well.

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SUNNY SKIES JUST IN TIME FOR THE WORK WEEK

After a weekend that saw rain and temperatures in the 60s it looks like we will get back to warmer conditions and lots of sunshine in the upcoming week.

HOW WARM: The warm up this week will be gradual with temperatures on Monday still below normal. Lows will be in the mid-40s to lower 50s with daytime highs in the low to mid 70s. By Tuesday we are looking at highs in the low 80s after a cool morning near 60. Finally the real warm arrives on Wednesday with highs in the mid-80s with the upper 80s to near 90 Thursday. The dry weather should continue into the upcoming Memorial Day weekend with highs next Saturday and Sunday in the low 80s and lows in the lower 60s.

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RAIN CHANCES: High pressure will continue to build into the southeast this upcoming week leading to dry conditions that will persist into Memorial Day weekend. A weak frontal boundary may set up by next Sunday and Monday that could lead to afternoon showers, but right now that is too hard to call.

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